Demographic Trends and Forecasts in the Philadelphia Region

Demographic Trends and Forecasts in the Philadelphia Region

Product No.: 08031
Date Published: 01/2008

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While the overall population and employment of the Philadelphia region has remained relatively stable in recent decades, the location of the region's people and jobs is shifting, with some areas realizing significant gains in residents and jobs and other areas experiencing losses. Socioeconomic characteristics of the population are likewise shifting, with many communities realizing significant changes in median income, household type and size, age, race, and ethnicity. Changing demographics will significantly impact the cultural needs, demands, and preferences in these communities. In order to achieve their goals, the multitude of organizations that produce and market cultural opportunities throughout the region must be able to adapt to their changing audiences. In 2008, the Philadelphia Cultural Management Initiative (PCMI) and the Greater Philadelphia Cultural Alliance plan to conduct primary market research on cultural participation in the Philadelphia region, and information on baseline arts activity has been compiled by the Philadelphia Cultural Data Project. DVRPC's contribution to this overall effort to understand the impact of changing demographics on participation in the arts is an analysis of regional demographic trends and the forecasting of anticipated socioeconomic shifts. This report includes baseline demographic data for 80 separate planning areas in a 10-county region that includes DVRPC's nine member counties and New Castle County, Delaware. In addition to this baseline information, historic trends were analyzed and future changes in population and socioeconomic characteristics (including age, sex, race, ethnicity, household income, and household type) were projected through 2020. Combined with the findings from PCMI's research on arts and cultural participation, these forecasts, though not exact, will help provide the region's arts and cultural organizations with insight as to how to adapt their products, communications, and outreach in order to broaden, deepen, and diversify their audiences.

Geographic Area Covered: A ten-county region that includes Bucks, Chester, Delaware, Montgomery, and Philadelphia counties in Pennsylvania; Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, and Mercer counties in New Jersey; and New Castle County, Delaware.

Key Words: arts and culture, demographic data, demographic trends, population forecasts

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