Connections 2040: Transportation Investment Scenarios

Connections 2040: Transportation Investment Scenarios

Product No.: 13004
Date Published: 10/2012

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Connections 2040: Transportation Investment Scenarios compares total regional transportation infrastructure needs for Greater Philadelphia over the next 27 years to available revenue under three scenarios. The high scenario is a best case for transportation funding in the region. It forecasts some decline in current road and bridge conditions, while the region’s transit infrastructure achieves a state-of-good repair. This scenario invests in a number of road and transit operational improvements, and additional new transit routes. This will allow the region to be more economically competitive and will enhance our quality of life. The medium scenario is a likely investment level for transportation infrastructure, based on current funding levels. In it, road and bridge conditions worsen considerably. Transit infrastructure remains in the same condition as today, but is still far from a state-of-good repair. This scenario is able to invest in a few road and transit operational and system expansion improvements. The low scenario is a worst case for regional transportation funding. In it, road and bridge conditions decline substantially between now and 2040, and 100 state-maintained bridges close due to lack of funding. This would cause more congestion, lower travel speeds, and increase vehicle operating cost. The region’s transit infrastructure backlog of state-of-good repair needs worsens to where service is compromised. Poor transportation system condition would negatively impact the region’s economic competitiveness. None of the scenarios are able to fund all needs. Under each, the region must carefully balance system preservation, operational improvement, and new capacity investments.

Geographic Area Covered: The nine-county Greater Philadelphia region, which covers the counties of Bucks, Chester, Delaware, Montgomery, and Philadelphia in Pennsylvania and Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, and Mercer in New Jersey.

Key Words: Scenarios, Investment Scenarios, What-if Analysis, Long-Range Plan, Connections 2040, Regional Funding, Transportation Funding, Transportation Investment, Global Economy, Goods Movement, Transportation Infrastructure, Bridge Condition, Pavement Condition, Road Condition, Road Maintenance, Bridge Maintenance, Road Operations, Limited New Capacity, Bike Facilities, Pedestrian Facilities, Transit Condition, Transit Maintenance, Transit Operations, Transit New Capacity

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