Making the Land Use Connection: Regional What-If Scenario Analysis

Making the Land Use Connection: Regional What-If Scenario Analysis

Product No.: 08059
Date Published: 01/2008

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This report examines three disparate future land use scenarios: Recentralization, Trend, and Sprawl. The Recentralization scenario locates future population and employment growth in the region's core cities and developed communities. The Trend scenario is based on the Board-adopted population and employment forecasts. The Sprawl scenario moves existing population and employment from core cities and developed communities and relocates them along with future growth in growing suburbs and rural areas. The scenarios are analyzed for their impacts on land use, transportation, the environment and economic development in the DVRPC region through the year 2035. The document also summarizes the assumptions and methodology employed to develop the scenarios.

Geographic Area Covered: The nine-county Delaware Valley Regional Planning Commission area which covers the counties of Bucks, Chester, Delaware, Montgomery, and Philadelphia in Pennsylvania and Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, and Mercer in New Jersey.

Key Words: Scenarios; what-if analysis; recentralization; trend; sprawl; land use; transportation; environment; economic development; Connections; planning areas; forecasts; 2035.

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